Risk Analysis and Perception in Earthquake Decision Making
Current Projects
Project Team and Funding
Luc Anselin, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Ann Bostrom, Georgia Institute of Technology (PI)
Robin Dillon-Merrill, Georgetown University
Sponsor: National Science Foundation/Mid-America Earthquake Center
Time Frame: Oct 2005 to Sept 2008
Project Overview
This project investigates the way in which geovisualization can contribute to the analysis and perception of risk pertaining to earthquakes. Specifically, being able to accurately model the social and economic consequences of earthquake events is not by itself sufficient to improve seismic risk decision making. Also required is a more complete understanding of decision making for low probability-high consequence events, how such events are perceived, and how to communicate technical information about them to render it more useful in decision making about complex, interdependent and dynamic systems (e.g., communities, large corporations, utilities networks). This project will add to this interdisciplinary body of knowledge, bringing together recent research in decision analysis, human computer interaction, risk communication, and spatial analysis and exposure to mapped data and applying them to support seismic decision making.
The project will also explore using the MAEviz-integrated NEESgrid portal to experimentally test the effects of viewing archived simulations and experiments on perceptions of earthquake hazards, their consequences, and intervention needs, for both engineers and lay decision makers. To improve MAEviz representation of risk and decision analyses, the project will develop and empirically test, on a variety of kinds of potential MAEviz users, ways of presenting risk and uncertainty for spatially distributed data.
Poster
Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Mid America Earthquake Center (2MB), Austin, TX Jan 19-21, 2006. If poster does not load, download image, e.g.: right-click on link and "Save Target As".
Last updated January 16, 2006